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Orbital Near-Miss: SpaceX and China Clash Over Close Encounter in Space

 

On December 12, 2025, a Starlink satellite and a Chinese CAS Space satellite narrowly avoided a catastrophic collision, passing within just 200 meters of each other. Experts warn this incident is a glaring symptom of an escalating "territory war" in Low Earth Orbit (LEO).


Key Points of Contention:

  • Lack of Transparency: SpaceX has accused CAS Space of failing to share critical orbital data. By operating "blind" at speeds of 28,000 km/h, the Chinese operator is being criticized for treating space like a lawless "Wild West."

  • Beijing’s Stance: Chinese officials have maintained that satellite operators are responsible for their own maneuvers post-launch, a policy SpaceX VP Michael Nicolls argues is unsustainable.


The Threat of Kessler Syndrome: A collision at 560 km altitude could have triggered a Kessler Syndrome event—a runaway chain reaction of debris.

Such a disaster would create a cloud of hypersonic shrapnel, potentially destroying global infrastructure, including:

  1. GPS & Navigation

  2. Weather Monitoring

  3. Secure Military Communications

  4. Manned Space Stations


Without standardized international "deconfliction" protocols, experts warn that the risk of making Earth's orbit unusable for decades remains dangerously high.


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